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New Market Feasibility
New-Market Feasibility
A fast, structured way to assess a new geography or vertical. Score the opportunity, size the market, check the unit economics, map risks, and define a 90-day pilot.
Weighted Rubric
Feasibility Score (0β100)
Rate each factor (0β10) and adjust weight (%) if needed. Guidance: Go β₯ 75, Validate 50β74, No-Go < 50.
Tip: keep total weight β 100.
Score: 0 β Status: β
Notes
Key Signals
Market Sizing
TAM β SAM β SOM
ACV Mix
β
Definitions
Short Glossary
- TAM β all potential revenue.
- SAM β your reachable segment.
- SOM β realistic near-term share.
- ACV β average annual contract value.
Economics
CAC & Payback
β
Break-Even Customers
β
Formulas: payback β CAC Γ· (ARPU Γ GM%); break-even β Fixed Γ· (ARPU Γ GM% β Variable).
Funnel sanity
Simple Funnel
β
Register
Risk Log
Risk | Prob (1β5) | Impact (1β5) | Score | Mitigation |
---|
Score = Prob Γ Impact. Focus on β₯ 9.
Assumptions
Critical Assumptions
Plan
90-Day Pilot (Stage-Gates)
- Gate 1 (Day 30): 10 discovery calls β’ 3 proposals β’ β₯ 1 verbal yes.
- Gate 2 (Day 60): β₯ 3 closed-won β’ payback β€ 8 months.
- Gate 3 (Day 90): β₯ 6 closed-won β’ NPS β₯ 8 β’ churn β€ 2%.
Decisions: Scale if all gates hit. Extend if close with clear fixes. Exit if misses and unit economics fail.
Tasks
Execution Checklist
- Localize offer & landing page + UTM plan.
- Recruit 5β10 referral partners (street team / agencies).
- Run performance audit promo for target segment.
- Set reporting: pipeline, win rate, ARPU, payback, NPS.
- Weekly retro & pivot log.
Export
Markdown
Compose your inputs first, then click βBuild MDβ.
Export
YAML Snapshot
Compose your inputs first, then click βBuild YAMLβ.